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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. USA. NHL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 13476, period of time : 05-05-2014 - 05-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.67, variance V = 5.38, SD = 2.32, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 22.6%, P2 = 34.8%, total 0 = 0.5%, over 2.5 = 92.0%, under 2.5 = 8.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. NHL: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. NHL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.97, variance V = 3.03, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.71, variance V = 2.69, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 6.06, SD = 2.46, E/V = 0.04, Min = -9, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. NHL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
05-13-2024
15:36:25 UTC