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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. World Championship. Division I (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 345, period of time : 04-17-2011 - 05-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.06, variance V = 7.03, SD = 2.65, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 51.3%, draw = 10.4%, P2 = 38.3%, total 0 = 0.3%, over 2.5 = 94.2%, under 2.5 = 5.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Total PDF
World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.32, variance V = 5.85, SD = 2.42, E/V = 0.57, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.74, variance V = 4.72, SD = 2.17, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.58, variance V = 14.12, SD = 3.76, E/V = 0.04, Min = -11, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

World Championship. Division I: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
05-19-2024
12:34:06 UTC