Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 67967, period of time : 09-03-2014 - 06-24-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 5.54, variance V = 6.14, SD = 2.48, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 28
P1 = 46.0%, draw = 20.0%, P2 = 33.9%, total 0 = 0.6%, over 2.5 = 90.2%, under 2.5 = 9.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.97, variance V = 3.79, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 26
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.57, variance V = 3.21, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 27
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.40, variance V = 7.87, SD = 2.81, E/V = 0.05, Min = -26, Max = 26
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)