Mathematical statistics of runs - Baseball

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 35926, period of time : 09-30-2011 - 05-14-2024

Match total - runs

Average per match E = 8.76, variance V = 20.14, SD = 4.49, E/V = 0.44, Min = 1, Max = 38
P1 = 53.4%, draw = 0.0%, P2 = 46.6%, total 0 = 0.0%, over 2.5 = 95.8%, under 2.5 = 4.2%
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=6.75, p=0.44

Home team runs

Average per match E = 4.43, variance V = 9.53, SD = 3.09, E/V = 0.46, Min = 0, Max = 29
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=3.85, p=0.46

Away team runs

Average per match E = 4.33, variance V = 10.15, SD = 3.19, E/V = 0.43, Min = 0, Max = 29
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=3.22, p=0.43

Runs difference

Average per match E = 0.10, variance V = 19.22, SD = 4.38, E/V = 0.01, Min = -24, Max = 23
Basic random variable ~ Normal (Gauss) distribution: N(E, V)