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Mathematical statistics of runs - Baseball. WBC

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 132, period of time : 03-02-2013 - 03-21-2023


Match total - runs

Average per match E = 10.11, variance V = 26.13, SD = 5.11, E/V = 0.39, Min = 2, Max = 26
P1 = 56.1%, draw = 0.0%, P2 = 43.9%, total 0 = 0.0%, over 2.5 = 98.5%, under 2.5 = 1.5%
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=6.38, p=0.39

WBC: Pascal and Total PDF
WBC: Pascal and Total CDF

Home team runs

Average per match E = 5.27, variance V = 13.09, SD = 3.62, E/V = 0.40, Min = 0, Max = 18
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=3.56, p=0.40

WBC: Pascal and Total 1 PDF

Away team runs

Average per match E = 4.83, variance V = 17.15, SD = 4.14, E/V = 0.28, Min = 0, Max = 22
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=1.90, p=0.28

WBC: Pascal and Total 2 PDF

Runs difference

Average per match E = 0.44, variance V = 34.34, SD = 5.86, E/V = 0.01, Min = -20, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Normal (Gauss) distribution: N(E, V)

WBC: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
12-26-2024
16:30:16 UTC