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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Armenia. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 645, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.47, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.9%, draw = 22.5%, P2 = 36.6%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 44.5%, under 2.5 = 55.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.43, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.11, variance V = 3.48, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Armenia. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
05-10-2024
11:03:43 UTC