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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Chile. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2513, period of time : 05-07-2014 - 05-05-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 26.5%, P2 = 29.5%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 51.1%, under 2.5 = 48.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.17, E/V = 1.07, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.11, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Chile. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
05-12-2024
19:52:04 UTC