Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 723, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 05-05-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.57, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.2%, draw = 24.9%, P2 = 32.9%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 47.9%, under 2.5 = 52.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 3.17, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.07, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)