Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. France. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1249, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 05-04-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.43, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 41.6%, draw = 30.1%, P2 = 28.3%, total 0 = 10.2%, over 2.5 = 44.0%, under 2.5 = 56.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.08, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.39, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)