Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Lithuania. A Lyga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1033, period of time : 03-03-2017 - 05-02-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 40.9%, draw = 24.1%, P2 = 34.9%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 48.1%, under 2.5 = 51.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.80, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 3.99, SD = 2.00, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)