Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. North Macedonia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 777, period of time : 02-15-2020 - 05-04-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.2%, draw = 25.9%, P2 = 26.9%, total 0 = 11.1%, over 2.5 = 43.2%, under 2.5 = 56.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.01, variance V = 1.21, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)