Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 584, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 04-29-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.58, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.8%, draw = 26.2%, P2 = 33.1%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 49.1%, under 2.5 = 50.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.73, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 3.82, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)