Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3002, period of time : 09-20-2016 - 06-02-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.80, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.4%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 32.4%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 53.9%, under 2.5 = 46.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.37, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.24, variance V = 3.19, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.07, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)