Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Hungary. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 839, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-05-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.88, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 25.0%, P2 = 31.1%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 57.1%, under 2.5 = 42.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.39, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)