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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Georgia. Erovnuli Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1836, period of time : 05-02-2014 - 04-27-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 3.22, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 45.0%, draw = 24.1%, P2 = 30.9%, total 0 = 10.6%, over 2.5 = 51.1%, under 2.5 = 48.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.96, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.52, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.75, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.09, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
05-09-2024
13:35:46 UTC