Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. South American Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1229, period of time : 08-19-2014 - 04-26-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.32, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.7%, draw = 24.9%, P2 = 27.4%, total 0 = 11.2%, over 2.5 = 40.9%, under 2.5 = 59.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.93, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.46, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.15, Min = -9, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)