Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. USA. MLS

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4101, period of time : 05-08-2014 - 05-05-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 50.7%, draw = 25.4%, P2 = 24.0%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 57.1%, under 2.5 = 42.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.73, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.57, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.21, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)