Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 446, period of time : 09-05-2009 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.7%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 24.2%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 40.6%, under 2.5 = 59.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 1.78, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.50, variance V = 3.25, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.16, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)