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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. Bundesliga 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3051, period of time : 08-29-2014 - 05-28-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.81, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 27.6%, P2 = 29.5%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 54.1%, under 2.5 = 45.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.55, variance V = 1.54, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.97, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:57:17 UTC