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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Serbia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2914, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 06-03-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.61, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 22.5%, P2 = 29.6%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 48.1%, under 2.5 = 51.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 3.26, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.11, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Serbia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
03:13:34 UTC