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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Peru. Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3160, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 07-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.65, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 49.1%, draw = 27.0%, P2 = 24.0%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 48.6%, under 2.5 = 51.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Peru. Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Peru. Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Peru. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Peru. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.52, variance V = 2.64, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.20, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Peru. Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:32:25 UTC