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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Australia. A-League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1504, period of time : 10-10-2014 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.03, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.8%, draw = 23.5%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 59.5%, under 2.5 = 40.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Australia. A-League: Poisson and Total PDF
Australia. A-League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.66, variance V = 1.74, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Australia. A-League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Australia. A-League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 3.37, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Australia. A-League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
11-21-2024
10:53:27 UTC