Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Luxembourg. National Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 983, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-31-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 3.18, variance V = 3.21, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.3%, draw = 20.4%, P2 = 36.2%, total 0 = 4.1%, over 2.5 = 61.1%, under 2.5 = 38.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.68, variance V = 2.16, SD = 1.47, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.88, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 4.86, SD = 2.21, E/V = 0.04, Min = -8, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)