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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Romania. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1363, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 07-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.40, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.1%, draw = 27.4%, P2 = 30.5%, total 0 = 9.5%, over 2.5 = 42.3%, under 2.5 = 57.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.54, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.11, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.10, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Romania. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:38:44 UTC