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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Honduras. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 773, period of time : 03-14-2020 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.73, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.8%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 28.1%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 52.3%, under 2.5 = 47.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 1.78, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.40, variance V = 3.20, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
03:18:35 UTC