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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Czech Republic. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2618, period of time : 08-29-2014 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.70, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 46.7%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 28.1%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 50.8%, under 2.5 = 49.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.73, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.44, variance V = 3.32, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.13, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
02:49:42 UTC