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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Switzerland. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1827, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 05-31-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.03, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 25.9%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 58.6%, under 2.5 = 41.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.67, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.43, SD = 1.85, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Switzerland. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
03:04:50 UTC