Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 604, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 05-26-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.58, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 33.3%, total 0 = 8.4%, over 2.5 = 48.8%, under 2.5 = 51.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.75, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.19, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 3.81, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)