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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. United Arab Emirates. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 735, period of time : 03-13-2020 - 06-07-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.11, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.4%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 35.0%, total 0 = 4.1%, over 2.5 = 60.8%, under 2.5 = 39.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 1.79, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 3.71, SD = 1.93, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
03:01:51 UTC