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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie B

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3627, period of time : 08-26-2014 - 07-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.20, variance V = 2.17, SD = 1.47, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.5%, draw = 29.5%, P2 = 23.9%, total 0 = 11.4%, over 2.5 = 38.4%, under 2.5 = 61.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 1.10, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.90, variance V = 0.87, SD = 0.93, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.41, variance V = 1.92, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.21, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazil. Serie B: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:43:06 UTC