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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3787, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 07-16-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.37, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 48.5%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 24.8%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 42.8%, under 2.5 = 57.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.96, variance V = 0.96, SD = 0.98, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 2.24, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.20, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:52:23 UTC