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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Poland. Ekstraklasa

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2884, period of time : 08-25-2014 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 2.65, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.0%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 29.0%, total 0 = 8.0%, over 2.5 = 49.1%, under 2.5 = 50.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Total PDF
Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.52, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.19, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:53:36 UTC