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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2296, period of time : 08-25-2014 - 07-13-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.88, variance V = 2.99, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.9%, draw = 25.4%, P2 = 29.7%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 55.4%, under 2.5 = 44.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.79, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 3.39, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
11:01:14 UTC