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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. North Macedonia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 789, period of time : 02-15-2020 - 05-18-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.8%, draw = 26.4%, P2 = 26.9%, total 0 = 11.3%, over 2.5 = 43.1%, under 2.5 = 56.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total PDF
North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.01, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

North Macedonia. First League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
18:17:50 UTC