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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5408, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 05-19-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.61, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.3%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 31.0%, total 0 = 8.1%, over 2.5 = 47.3%, under 2.5 = 52.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League 2: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.24, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
11-21-2024
10:52:57 UTC