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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Denmark. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2138, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 05-31-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.75, variance V = 2.64, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.6%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 30.8%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 52.7%, under 2.5 = 47.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.51, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Denmark. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
11:13:57 UTC