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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Paraguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2470, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 06-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 38.5%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 34.2%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 50.3%, under 2.5 = 49.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.09, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:55:06 UTC