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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Chile. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2489, period of time : 08-29-2014 - 06-20-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.69, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 26.5%, P2 = 29.8%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 51.2%, under 2.5 = 48.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.18, E/V = 1.07, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.23, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.11, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Chile. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
03:03:17 UTC