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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belgium. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3094, period of time : 08-29-2014 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.92, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.8%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 5.6%, over 2.5 = 57.4%, under 2.5 = 42.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 3.35, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Belgium. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
03:05:39 UTC