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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 736, period of time : 11-30-2019 - 02-18-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.45, variance V = 2.62, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 51.1%, draw = 25.5%, P2 = 23.4%, total 0 = 8.3%, over 2.5 = 42.4%, under 2.5 = 57.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.10, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.55, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.20, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
18:00:00 UTC