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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Kosovo. SuperLiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 714, period of time : 09-18-2020 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 3.09, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.6%, draw = 26.3%, P2 = 30.1%, total 0 = 11.1%, over 2.5 = 45.0%, under 2.5 = 55.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.77, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.11, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 3.03, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
10:52:42 UTC