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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 397, period of time : 09-25-2014 - 05-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 33.3%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 40.1%, total 0 = 9.6%, over 2.5 = 43.6%, under 2.5 = 56.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.14, variance V = 3.68, SD = 1.92, E/V = -0.04, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
01-05-2025
11:19:55 UTC