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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belgium. Division 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 229, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 04-17-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 24.0%, P2 = 31.9%, total 0 = 5.2%, over 2.5 = 55.9%, under 2.5 = 44.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Total PDF
Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 3.24, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.06, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Belgium. Division 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
11-21-2024
11:14:31 UTC