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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. AFC Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 244, period of time : 05-14-2021 - 05-05-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.17, variance V = 4.04, SD = 2.01, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 50.0%, draw = 18.9%, P2 = 31.2%, total 0 = 6.1%, over 2.5 = 60.7%, under 2.5 = 39.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.88, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.58, variance V = 4.77, SD = 2.18, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. AFC Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
08:52:25 UTC