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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. Champions League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1278, period of time : 08-26-2014 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 3.20, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.0%, draw = 25.0%, P2 = 27.9%, total 0 = 8.3%, over 2.5 = 53.8%, under 2.5 = 46.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.64, variance V = 2.16, SD = 1.47, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.43, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.97, SD = 1.99, E/V = 0.12, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
12-21-2024
18:25:43 UTC