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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Champions League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2060, period of time : 08-26-2014 - 07-17-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 46.3%, draw = 23.2%, P2 = 30.5%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 53.9%, under 2.5 = 46.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 1.98, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 4.13, SD = 2.03, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
12-19-2024
07:17:33 UTC