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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Champions League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 356, period of time : 08-27-2014 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.54, SD = 1.88, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 55.9%, draw = 23.3%, P2 = 20.8%, total 0 = 6.2%, over 2.5 = 55.9%, under 2.5 = 44.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.92, variance V = 2.46, SD = 1.57, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.90, SD = 1.38, E/V = 0.54, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.89, variance V = 5.19, SD = 2.28, E/V = 0.17, Min = -11, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
02:31:11 UTC