Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. America Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 170, period of time : 07-02-2011 - 07-15-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.33, variance V = 3.09, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 31.8%, P2 = 24.1%, total 0 = 15.9%, over 2.5 = 42.4%, under 2.5 = 57.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.95, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.96, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.41, variance V = 3.57, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)