Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1488, period of time : 02-04-2015 - 06-08-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.53, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 51.0%, draw = 24.6%, P2 = 24.4%, total 0 = 9.1%, over 2.5 = 45.3%, under 2.5 = 54.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 1.98, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.08, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.64, variance V = 3.30, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.19, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)