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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. South American Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1263, period of time : 08-26-2014 - 07-16-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.34, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 24.7%, P2 = 27.5%, total 0 = 11.1%, over 2.5 = 41.6%, under 2.5 = 58.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 1.16, SD = 1.08, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.07, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.15, Min = -9, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-22-2024
01:22:23 UTC